A recent poll conducted by the MSU Billings Mountain States Poll has shown a tied race between incumbent Sen. Jon Tester, D-Mont., and Republican Tim Sheehy. The poll, conducted by a political science class at MSUB, sampled 760 people and found Tester and Sheehy tied at 43 percent, with a margin of error of 3.56%. This result contrasts with other national polls that show Sheehy with a slight advantage.
Dr. Hope Gentry, MSUB assistant professor, noted that the race was too close to determine a winner. Meanwhile, Dr. Jeremy Johnson of Carroll College stated that Tester’s performance in the polls is considered good news, despite Sheehy leading in other national polls by single digits. Johnson emphasized the unpredictability of polls, mentioning Tester’s past election victories despite initial polling results.
The students conducting the poll also asked about Constitutional Initiative 128, which aims to amend the state constitution to provide a right to abortion. The poll showed 60 percent approval for the initiative and 25 percent disapproval. Gentry expressed concern about the impact of undecided voters and those supporting third-party candidates on the upcoming election.
Overall, the MSU Billings Mountain States Poll serves as a valuable tool in gauging voter sentiment in Montana. The poll results, along with the bipartisan concerns and partisan divisions highlighted, provide insight into the dynamics of the upcoming election.
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